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Bernie Sanders was declared the winner in California just moments after polls closed but his final haul of delegates could remain uncertain for days, or even weeks, as election officials tally the millions of provisional votes and mail-in ballots. And while triumph in the Golden State will help Sanders remain competitive in what has become essentially a two-person race between him and Joe Biden, the eventual delegate math could indicate a decidedly shakier path to the nomination than the Vermont senator expected last week. Voting on Super Tuesday in Los Angeles county, the state’s most populous, was marked by chaos after a $300m new voting system resulted in hours-long lines that kept people waiting even as midnight approached. Meanwhile, nearly half the state’s ballots still remain uncounted, estimates Paul Mitchell, with the campaign research firm Political Data Inc, which tracks ballots as they are returned.“It’s like there’s this black box of how many ballots are at the post office right now,” said Mitchell. So far, about 5.3m ballots have been counted, according to Mitchell, just over 50% of the 10m he expects have been cast in this election. “The x-factor really is: do we see some big surging coming with the uncounted ballot results?” he said. “It’s just a huge unknown.”Many voters dropped off or posted ballots at the last minute, and election officials are required to count mail-ins that arrive as late as Friday, as long as they are postmarked by 3 March. After all the volatility, withdrawals and endorsements leading up Super Tuesday, many California voters said they felt torn as they headed to the polls – and even after they’d voted. Stephenie Smith, 31, told the Guardian she had made a last-minute decision to vote for Warren. “After a lot of conversations, I was kind of leaning toward Bernie,” she said. “I had such mixed feelings.” But on election night, she was worried she’d made the wrong choice. “I like Warren slightly better, but I didn’t want to have split the progressive vote,” she said. Voters who had their hearts set on Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, or other candidates who dropped out before the election were left scrambling as well. Andrew Byrnes, 47, said he settled on Joe Biden, “because I think he’s the most likely to defeat Trump”, he said. “I was torn between him and Warren, but it doesn’t seem like she has a chance of winning.”Traditionally, those late deciders tend to be the types who would favor Sanders, Mitchell said. In California, the Sanders campaign’s early outreach to a dedicated coalition of young, liberal and Latino voters appeared to dull the impact of Biden’s momentum. Exit polls across the country, however, suggested that late deciders tended to side with Biden. As more votes are counted, support for Mike Bloomberg – who is currently in third place – is likely to wane, Mitchell said. Whatever the final numbers, Sanders, who has long dominated in state polls, is sure to retain his strong lead in a state where
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Millions of uncounted California ballots to shed light on Sanders' future:
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